Caught between China’s export flood and global de-risking: ASEAN’s rebalancing moment
China's industrial capacity spillover is pushing ASEAN toward a new strategic crossroads: in 2024, China's exports to ASEAN grew by 12%, while ASEAN's exports to China increased by only 2%, and its trade deficit with China has exceeded US$190 billion. Based on a research report by the Asia Society Policy Institute, this article analyzes the dual balancing dilemma facing ASEAN from three dimensions: regional industrial division of labor, supply chain restructuring, and institutional tools.